In the Financial Times, Martin Wolf noted a few days ago that imbalances in international trade are back on the political agenda. Although Wolf reaches entirely reasonable conclusions regarding mercantilism, he nevertheless states that it is nonsense to claim that the US trade deficits can be eliminated solely through trade or exchange rate policy. He believes that this would “also require macroeconomic adjustments, in particular a reduction in the US public budget deficit, which the IMF forecasts at 7.5 per cent of GDP for 2026”.
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