Marco Carnelos – Silvio Berlusconi: The billionaire who radically changed Italian politics

A good piece covering many aspects of Berlusconi’s political career.

Marco Carnelos is a former Italian diplomat. He has been assigned to Somalia, Australia and the United Nations. He served in the foreign policy staff of three Italian prime ministers between 1995 and 2011. More recently he has been Middle East peace process coordinator special envoy for Syria for the Italian government and, until November 2017, Italy’s ambassador to Iraq.

Cross-posted from Middle East Eye

It had been framed as a Christian liberal leader reaching out to a then moderate Islamist one. Only Franco-German myopia managed to make this project fail. Looking at Turkey’s attitude today, we are undoubtedly facing another great missed opportunity.

Another European duet, this time Anglo-French – with the US leading from behind – sank another one of Berlusconi’s foreign policy initiatives: a strategic Italian partnership with Gaddafi’s Libya aimed at curbing the wave of refugees from North Africa and launching major infrastructural projects in the area. In 2008, he signed a “friendship treaty” with Libya to execute this plan.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy and British Prime Minister David Cameron, however, could not tolerate the privileged relationship that Berlusconi had been able to create with such a complex and mercurial personality as the Libyan leader. Nor could they accept the business opportunity that such a special relationship granted to Italian businesses to the detriment of British and French ones.

Unlike them, Berlusconi had been the only one who was brave enough to go in front of the Libyan parliament to apologise for the Italian colonial past in Libya. Gaddafi was illegally killed in the autumn of 2011, and the rest is a sad history.

In dealing with the EU, Berlusconi had his critical moments. He hated some of the automatism engraved in EU policies and many double standards emanating from Brussels, but, ultimately, he did not bring the relationship to a breaking point.

He had more passion for Atlanticism than Europeanism, sometimes with embarrassing consequences when he would repeat that “in any issue [he] aligned with the US even before knowing which was the American position”.

It was never possible to make him understand that such a stance compromised Italian political leverage towards the US and risked condemning Rome to always be taken for granted by Washington.

Putting out fires

My working experience with Berlusconi was quite challenging. The business executive in him was instinctively diffident towards public service officials – a feeling that increased when the judiciary intensified its action against him.

At times, he was perceived to be surrounded by serial leakers ready to betray him. He alternated between humility, especially in his first years in power, with excessive confidence.

He had no extensive international experience but pretended to know more and better than his aides based only on the fact that he knew life and the world better because he had become a billionaire.

He permanently shifted Italian support for the Palestinian cause to one far more supportive of Israel

While such qualities may be good in business, they do not necessarily apply to world politics. He often had the mistaken attitude of hyper-personalising international problems. He believed – often wrongly – that his personal relationship with certain foreign leaders could automatically pave the way to a solution to any problem. He ignored the fact that differing interests between states generally go far beyond single political personalities no matter how talented they might be.

Given this context, if I were to summarise my job description next to him, it would be as a firefighter. Most of the time, the other staffers and I were mobilised to do damage control after his legendary gaffes with foreign leaders and media.

The strong bond Berlusconi developed with George W Bush pushed him to support the US invasion of Iraq in 2003. However, he did so without committing troops to the conflict. Italian soldiers arrived in Iraq in 2004, after the UN Security Council adopted resolution 1483 which authorised an international mission to stabilise Iraq. Nevertheless, privately Berlusconi was always skeptical about the presence of WMDs in Saddam Hussein’s Iraq.

Berlusconi was also a staunch supporter of Israel and its right to exist within secure borders while he always displayed a far more lukewarm attitude towards Palestinian rights. He effectively shifted permanently the Italian position from one of strong support for the Palestinian cause to one far more supportive of Israel.

His personal relationship with Erdogan collapsed precisely over irreconcilable views on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict after a stormy phone call that I shamefully attended during Israel’s Operation Cast Lead against Gaza in December 2008-January 2009.

Even if I sometimes disagreed with Berlusconi’s style and politics, as an Italian, it was painful to watch him be ridiculed in 2011 by his peers, Sarkozy and then-German Chancellor Angela Merkel, in an unforgettable press conference.

Populist policies

Berlusconi’s histrionic manner of policymaking spawned a horde of emulators around the world – from Hugo Chavez to Jair Bolsonaro, Erdogan, Donald Trump, and Boris Johnson.

The first iteration of populist policies in the world was Berlusconi’s period in power in Italy. In this sense, for many, Italy was a disgraceful political laboratory. Although Berlusconi was the real founder of an imaginary “Populist School of Politics and Government”, in private and confidential talks, he showed much more caution and common sense.

One of his main shortcomings in domestic as well as international politics was that he preferred to be surrounded by yes-men and sycophants. They often warped his vision and policies by systematically telling him what he wanted to hear instead of the sometimes difficult truth. The few who attempted in good faith to better promote Italian national interests by providing different views and options were usually kept at bay. Many left or were often compelled to leave. I was among them.

He was the leader who twice had the chance to radically change Italy into a mature and authentically liberal democracy, but he largely failed.

He never gave up his private lifestyle, summarily labelled “bunga bunga”, which saw dozens of young attractive girls – to whom no background check had been carried out and who could keep their own mobile phones – entertained at his private residences. It was never possible to make him fully aware that such gatherings presented worrying security risks.

The Italian judiciary never gave him respite, with dozens of indictments almost always resolved in acquittals which largely compromised his ability to operate effectively.

Berlusconi always had a thorny relationship with the media, in Italy and outside, especially in the UK press. The Financial Times and the Economist were among those that systematically attacked him, considering him unfit to rule. The real reason was that Berlusconi, contrary to what many in Italy now claim, had embraced “sovereigntist” Italian nationalism.

He supported economic liberalisation, but was resolutely against the sell-offs at bargain prices to foreign investors of entire components of the country’s industrial system that have so frequently characterised Italy since 1992.

Berlusconi’s critics largely represented these foreign interests and treated Berlusconi as an obstacle to opening Italy to global capital. Unfortunately, the late prime minister never listened to one of the few good advisers surrounding him who urged him to solve the problem by purchasing both the Economist and FT.

Berlusconi never properly learned the real lesson of power in western democracies that his alter ego in the media world, Rupert Murdoch, has so effectively displayed for decades in the US, UK, and Australia. The real power is not held by those who are “elected” by the people, but by those who influence the people on how they should vote: the owners of great media conglomerates.

Unfortunately, for him, Berlusconi wished more to be king than kingmaker; he found the limelight irresistible. Probably, as a kingmaker, he would have faced far fewer troubles in his nevertheless lucky lifetime.

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