That is really rather a mess as we know it rallied into the 132s. Anyway this leads me to my first two thoughts. Number one is that inflation levels will fall as we head into 2023. But care is needed with that because as we stand that simply means that prices will rise more slowly rather than actually fall. Also in Europe a lot of the trend depends on government intervention in energy prices as any halt to that will push inflation back up again. Number two is that we start it with trends for the Japanese Yen look much better. The caveat here is that the carry is against you as short-term US bonds yield about 4% more so the moves are likely to be knee-jerk and patchy like we saw earlier this week.
Economics
Bill Mitchell: US labour market data – we have never been here before!
This is one of those all-time historical events that make the severe crises of the past (early 1980s, 1990s, GFC – look like blips). Read here
EU politics
Wolfgang Munchau – Ukraine: The cheerleading has to stop
Despite military setbacks, Vladimir Putin is still on course to achieve his strategic targets. Read Here
Economics
Shaun Richards: Ireland creates quite a problem for attempts to measure an economy via GDP
A look at Ireland’s phenomenal economy. Read HERE
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