That is really rather a mess as we know it rallied into the 132s. Anyway this leads me to my first two thoughts. Number one is that inflation levels will fall as we head into 2023. But care is needed with that because as we stand that simply means that prices will rise more slowly rather than actually fall. Also in Europe a lot of the trend depends on government intervention in energy prices as any halt to that will push inflation back up again. Number two is that we start it with trends for the Japanese Yen look much better. The caveat here is that the carry is against you as short-term US bonds yield about 4% more so the moves are likely to be knee-jerk and patchy like we saw earlier this week.
Economics
Bill Mitchell: ECB estimates suggest meeting current challenges will be impossible within fiscal rule space
While the ECB paper does not exactly state the obvious the meaning is clear – even to get within a ballpark of what is required will require substantial austerity being imposed on areas of expenditure […]
Finance
Dara Leyden & Benjamin Selwyn: Globalisation’s corroding edifice
The World Bank’s ‘Trading for Development in the Age of Global Value Chains’ Read here
Climate Crisis
Treehugger: This professor just got arrested for making climate change graffiti
Governments aren’t paying attention to scientific research, but maybe crime will get people’s attention. Read here
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